This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Saint Louis Billikens and Davidson Wildcats scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution criteria is logically contradictory, stating both Saint Louis winning and Davidson winning both resolve to Yes, which violates the law of excluded middle for a binary market. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi version until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The contradiction suggests either a documentation error or a misunderstanding of the market structure. Polymarket's binary outcome structure (one team wins, market resolves to that team's name) is logically sound and should be your reference point.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary outcome market resolving to the name of the winning team. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by resolving 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Stated as Yes/No binary but contains logical error: both Saint Louis winning and Davidson winning are said to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible state. No mention of postponement or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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