TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos
Volume:
$1,774,798
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Saint Joseph's Hawks and New Mexico Lobos on March 24 at 9:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers binary spread markets (Yes/No on specific point-differential thresholds) while Polymarket offers traditional moneyline, spread, and over/under markets. Kalshi's markets resolve YES if New Mexico wins by specific margins OR if Saint Joseph's wins by more than 1.5 or 4.5 points, creating a fundamentally different betting structure than Polymarket's standard sports betting format.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Kalshi, you are betting on specific point-differential outcomes (e.g., NM wins by >2.5 points), not a simple moneyline or spread cover. On Polymarket, you are betting on traditional outcomes (moneyline winner, spread cover at -10.5 to -16.5, or total points). A Kalshi YES on 'NM wins by >2.5' is NOT equivalent to Polymarket's spread markets, which require NM to win by 11+ points (at -10.5) or more. Ensure you understand which threshold you are trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 11 binary markets, each resolving YES if New Mexico wins by a specific margin (2.5, 5.5, 8.5, 11.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 23.5, or 26.5 points) OR if Saint Joseph's wins by more than 1.5 or 4.5 points. Example: 'If New Mexico wins by more than 2.5 points in the Saint Joseph's at New Mexico men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a moneyline market (winner only), multiple spread markets at -3.5 to -16.5 (NM wins by N+1 or more points to resolve YES), and 13 over/under markets (152.5 to 165.5 combined points). Example spread: 'This market will resolve to New Mexico Lobos if the New Mexico Lobos win the game by 11 or more points' (at -10.5 spread).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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