TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Davidson Wildcats
Volume:
$246,969
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Saint Joseph's Hawks and Davidson Wildcats scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting at multiple thresholds (-4.5, -3.5, -2.5), and over/under total points at multiple lines (138.5, 137.5, 136.5, 135.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Saint Joseph's win and Davidson win), making the market always-true and fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction. Polymarket correctly structures the moneyline as a categorical outcome (winner name).Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The resolution logic guarantees a Yes outcome regardless of which team wins, eliminating all predictive value. Trade Polymarket's moneyline instead, or focus on spread and over/under markets which are consistently defined across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Saint Joseph's wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Davidson wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a tautology where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution, violating binary market logic.
- Polymarket: Moneyline market correctly resolves to 'Saint Joseph's Hawks' if Saint Joseph's wins, or 'Davidson Wildcats' if Davidson wins. This is a proper categorical outcome structure.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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