This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Sacred Heart Pioneers and Fairfield Stags scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score of the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Sacred Heart win or Fairfield win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. This is a data integrity failure that prevents meaningful price discovery.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether this is a Yes/No market (in which case the logic should specify what resolves to No) or if there is a documentation error. Polymarket's winner-take-all structure is operationally sound and should be the reference market.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution. Sacred Heart victory resolves to Sacred Heart Pioneers, Fairfield victory resolves to Fairfield Stags. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Logically contradictory Yes/No structure. Both Sacred Heart win and Fairfield win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution state. No specification of what resolves to No or how cancellation/postponement is handled.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.