TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Idaho Vandals (W)
Volume:
$6,317
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Sacramento State Hornets and Idaho Vandals scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Sacramento State win and Idaho win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid or minimize exposure to the Kalshi version of this market. The platform's resolution criteria are internally inconsistent and cannot produce a valid settlement. Polymarket's binary structure is the only reliable framework. Request explicit clarification from Kalshi support on their intended resolution logic before trading.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'Sacramento State Hornets' if Sacramento State wins, or 'Idaho Vandals' if Idaho wins. Postponements keep market open; cancellations resolve 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
- Kalshi: Defective binary logic. Both Sacramento State win and Idaho win are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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