TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Idaho Vandals
Volume:
$143,672
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Sacramento State Hornets and Idaho Vandals scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread betting at multiple thresholds, and total points over/under.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents 22 independent spread-based markets with overlapping thresholds for both teams, while Polymarket offers a standard binary moneyline, two discrete spread markets, and an over/under. The platforms use fundamentally different market architectures and do not share common resolution logic.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, the spread markets (-6.5 and -5.5) are standard; resolve based on final margin. On Kalshi, each of the 22 markets is a separate Yes/No proposition tied to a specific spread threshold. Verify with Kalshi whether multiple markets can resolve Yes simultaneously (e.g., if Idaho wins by 9 points, both 'Idaho >7.5' and 'Idaho >8.5' would be Yes) or if only one is intended to resolve per game outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to winner only (Sacramento State Hornets or Idaho Vandals). Spread markets are binary: Idaho -6.5 resolves Yes if Idaho wins by 7+ points, otherwise No; Idaho -5.5 resolves Yes if Idaho wins by 6+ points, otherwise No. Over/Under 158.5 resolves Over if combined score is 159+, Under if less. All markets include overtime in final score and resolve 50-50 if game is canceled with no makeup.
- Kalshi: 22 separate markets, each a Yes/No proposition tied to a specific spread threshold. Examples: 'Idaho wins by >7.5' (Yes if true), 'Sacramento wins by >11.5' (Yes if true), etc. No explicit mutual exclusivity stated. No moneyline or over/under markets. Platform structure suggests each market resolves independently based on final margin.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.