TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sabres vs. Penguins
Volume:
$1,109,884
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NHL game between the Buffalo Sabres and Pittsburgh Penguins scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (margin of victory), and total goals (over/under various thresholds). The group aggregates resolution logic from Kalshi and Polymarket.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi employs asymmetric spread thresholds (Buffalo >2.5 goals vs Pittsburgh >1.5 goals) that diverge from Polymarket's symmetric -1.5 spreads. This creates potential ambiguity in margin-of-victory resolution, though moneyline and totals remain consistent.Hero Tip:
Prioritize Polymarket for spread betting due to symmetric, unambiguous thresholds. Kalshi spreads introduce resolution risk from asymmetry. All totals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) are logically consistent; confirm shootout goal adjustment (+1 to winner) is applied uniformly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Asymmetric spread logic: Buffalo >2.5 goals = Yes, Pittsburgh >1.5 goals = Yes, Buffalo >1.5 goals = Yes, Pittsburgh >2.5 goals = Yes. Creates overlapping Yes conditions and potential ambiguity on outcomes like 2-goal margins.
- Polymarket: Symmetric spread at -1.5: Sabres win by 2+ goals = Sabres Yes, Penguins win by 2+ goals = Penguins Yes. Clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. Moneyline resolves to winner regardless of margin. Totals (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) use combined goals with shootout +1 adjustment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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