TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
Volume:
$778,935
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Buffalo Sabres vs. Chicago Blackhawks NHL game scheduled for April 13, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), total goals (over/under at multiple thresholds: 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and margin of victory (spread outcomes). All outcomes determined by final regulation + overtime + shootout score, with shootout wins credited as +1 goal to winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on goal-differential thresholds (spread-based outcomes), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner and total goals. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution scopes: Kalshi focuses on margin of victory, Polymarket on binary winner and combined scoring.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, your outcome depends on whether either team wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. On Polymarket, you are betting on the outright winner or total goals scored. A 2-0 Sabres win resolves YES on Kalshi (Sabres by >1.5), but only resolves to 'Sabres' on Polymarket's moneyline—these are different market types. Ensure your position matches the platform's settlement logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on goal differential thresholds. Markets resolve YES if either team wins by over 1.5 or over 2.5 goals. For example, 'If Buffalo wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Chicago wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates four overlapping YES conditions tied to margin of victory, not winner identity.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate market types: (1) moneyline winner (Sabres vs. Blackhawks), (2) over/under total goals at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5, and (3) spread at Sabres -1.5. The moneyline resolves to 'Sabres' or 'Blackhawks' based on final winner. The O/U markets resolve based on combined goals. The spread resolves 'Sabres' only if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise 'Blackhawks.' These are distinct market types with different resolution criteria.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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