TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rockets vs. Timberwolves
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 9:30PM ET: If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different thresholds and resolution mechanics for over/under markets on combined team scoring. Kalshi uses multiple fixed thresholds (208.5 to 238.5 points) that all resolve to Yes if exceeded, while Polymarket uses specific point totals (221.5, 222.5, 223.5, 224.5) with binary Over/Under outcomes at each threshold.Hero Tip:
If you trade Kalshi's combined scoring markets, note that any combined total above 208.5 points triggers a Yes resolution across all 11 Kalshi markets simultaneously. On Polymarket, each threshold is a separate binary market — hitting 224 points resolves Over on the 223.5 line but may resolve Under on the 224.5 line. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket will settle identically on the same game outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers 11 separate combined-scoring markets, each with a different threshold (208.5, 211.5, 214.5, 217.5, 220.5, 223.5, 226.5, 229.5, 232.5, 235.5, 238.5 points), all resolving to Yes if the combined total exceeds that threshold. All 11 markets resolve identically for any given final score. Quote: 'If the teams in the Houston at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026 collectively score more than [threshold] points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers 4 separate binary Over/Under markets at thresholds 221.5, 222.5, 223.5, and 224.5 points. Each market independently resolves Over if combined score is at or above the stated threshold plus 0.5 (e.g., 222 or more for the 221.5 line), and Under otherwise. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Rockets and Timberwolves combine to score [threshold + 0.5] or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than [threshold + 0.5], this market will resolve to Under.'
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