TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rockets vs. Grizzlies
Volume:
$4,158,544
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Houston Rockets and Memphis Grizzlies scheduled for March 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES. Polymarket's markets resolve to specific team names or binary outcomes (YES/NO) based on clear thresholds. This fundamental flaw in Kalshi's resolution logic makes those markets unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) for this event. They contain a logical error: both 'Houston wins' and 'Memphis wins' resolve to YES, which violates basic market mechanics. All other markets (Polymarket spreads, player props, totals) are resolvable. If you must trade this group, focus exclusively on Polymarket's 24 markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Houston wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Memphis wins... resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same state. This violates fundamental market logic and makes settlement unresolvable. Quote: 'If Houston wins the Houston at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Memphis wins the Houston at Memphis professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket's 24 markets all use mutually exclusive, resolvable outcomes. The moneyline (item 2) resolves to 'Rockets' or 'Grizzlies' (not both YES). Spreads, totals, player props, and first-half markets all use binary YES/NO or team-name outcomes with clear thresholds and tie-breaking rules. Quote: 'If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to Rockets. If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to Grizzlies.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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