This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Rider Broncs and Siena Saints scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spreads at -14.5 and -15.5, and over/under totals at 137.5 and 138.5 points.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction that makes it unresolvable. The market states it resolves Yes if either team wins, which means both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), leaving no way to distinguish a winning position.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform clarifies the market definition. The Polymarket contracts (moneyline, spreads, and totals) are all logically sound and resolvable based on final game score. Request Kalshi support to confirm whether this market should be binary for one team only, or if it is intended as a game-completion indicator.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Five distinct, internally consistent markets: (1) Moneyline resolves to winner name; (2-3) Spread markets at -14.5 and -15.5 resolve based on margin of victory; (4-5) Over/Under markets at 137.5 and 138.5 resolve based on combined score. All include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) clauses. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Kalshi: Single market with contradictory logic: 'If Siena wins...resolves to Yes. If Rider wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution, making the market logically impossible to settle. Key quote: 'If Siena wins the Rider at Siena men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rider wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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