TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Richmond Spiders vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblers
Volume:
$449,760
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball matchup between Richmond Spiders and Loyola Chicago Ramblers scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), over/under total points at 146.5, and point spreads at -4.5 and -3.5 for Richmond.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Richmond win or Loyola win) resolve to the same result (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between winners.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The condition 'If Loyola Chicago wins... then Yes' AND 'If Richmond wins... then Yes' means the market cannot settle based on actual game outcome. Polymarket's suite of markets (moneyline, spreads, over/under) are all logically sound and should be your primary reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to winner name (Richmond Spiders or Loyola Chicago Ramblers). Spreads resolve based on margin: -4.5 requires 5+ point Richmond win, -3.5 requires 4+ point Richmond win. Over/Under at 146.5 resolves Over if combined score is 147+. All resolve 50-50 if canceled with no make-up. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Market states 'If Loyola Chicago wins... then Yes' and separately 'If Richmond wins... then Yes'. Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), creating a logical impossibility. No differentiation between winners is possible. Source: Game originally scheduled Feb 28, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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