TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Richmond Spiders vs. Davidson Wildcats
Volume:
$63,875
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Richmond Spiders and Davidson Wildcats scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span full-game outcomes, point spreads at different thresholds, and total points over/under lines. Kalshi's market focuses on first-half results, while Polymarket markets resolve on full-game final scores including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction (all three outcomes resolve to Yes) and settles on first-half regulation only, while Polymarket settles on full-game final scores including overtime. These are incompatible settlement scopes.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's first-half market appears to have a design flaw—all three possible outcomes (Davidson win, Richmond win, Tie) resolve to Yes, which is a tautology. Verify the market rules directly with Kalshi support before placing trades. Do not assume Kalshi and Polymarket markets are equivalent; they resolve on different game periods and cannot be used for cross-platform arbitrage.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves on first-half regulation outcome only. All three outcomes (Davidson win, Richmond win, Tie) are marked as Yes resolution. This creates a logical contradiction: the market will always resolve to Yes regardless of result, rendering it informationally meaningless. Key Quote: 'If Davidson is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Richmond is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves on full-game final score including overtime. Winner market resolves to team name. Spread markets resolve based on margin of victory (Davidson -5.5 requires 6+ point win; Davidson -4.5 requires 5+ point win). Total markets resolve based on combined points (O/U 141.5 at 142+; O/U 142.5 at 143+). Key Quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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