TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Republic of Ireland vs. North Macedonia
Volume:
$148,397
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional International Friendly soccer match between the Republic of Ireland and North Macedonia scheduled for March 31, 2026. Markets track whether Ireland wins, North Macedonia wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling divergence between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if the game is canceled with no make-up; Kalshi provides no cancellation clause, creating potential resolution ambiguity.Hero Tip:
If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw backers win automatically, but Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly. For normal match completion, both platforms align on 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time as the resolution window.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Ireland win (YES/NO), North Macedonia win (YES/NO), and Draw (YES/NO). Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled with no make-up. All markets reference FIFA as primary source and allow postponement with market remaining open until completion. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three binary markets structured as: Tie wins (YES), Ireland wins (YES), North Macedonia wins (YES). All three resolve YES upon their respective outcomes, but no explicit cancellation or postponement clause is provided. The structure implies mutual exclusivity but lacks edge-case handling. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (and similarly for other outcomes).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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