This event group covers a single NHL game between the Detroit Red Wings and Dallas Stars scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple over/under total goals markets (at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds), and a spread bet on the Stars at -1.5 goals.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Red Wings and Stars wins resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate on a different platform with independent data feeds.
Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket as the authoritative source for this matchup. Avoid trading Kalshi moneyline until the contradiction is resolved. If trading across platforms, ensure you understand that Kalshi's resolution logic is currently broken and may require manual intervention or cancellation.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Red Wings or Stars based on final score. Over/unders resolve based on combined goals at specified thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Spread resolves Stars if they win by 2+ goals, otherwise Red Wings. All use final score including overtime; shootout winner gets +1 goal. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves 50-50.
Kalshi: Moneyline states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If DET Red Wings wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If DAL Stars wins...resolves to Yes'. This is a logical contradiction that prevents proper market resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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