TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Red Wings vs. Lightning
Volume:
$480,264
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning NHL game scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), spread (-1.5 for Lightning), and multiple over/under total goals markets at thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 9.5 combined goals.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket express over/under thresholds using different semantic conventions. Kalshi states 'over X.5' (meaning X+1 goals); Polymarket states 'O/U X.5' with explicit numeric clarification in descriptions (e.g., 'resolve to Over if 8 or more goals' for O/U 7.5). This creates potential confusion when comparing equivalent lines across platforms.Hero Tip:
Always cross-reference the explicit numeric threshold in Polymarket's description rather than inferring from the O/U label. For Kalshi, apply the standard mathematical interpretation: 'over 3.5' = 4 or more goals. When trading the same line on both platforms, confirm the threshold matches before execution. Moneyline and spread logic are consistent across both platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Eight separate over/under markets using 'over X.5' phrasing. Over 2.5 = 3+ goals, over 3.5 = 4+ goals, over 4.5 = 5+ goals, over 5.5 = 6+ goals, over 6.5 = 7+ goals, over 7.5 = 8+ goals, over 8.5 = 9+ goals, over 9.5 = 10+ goals. Key quote: 'If over 3.5 total combined goals are scored in the Detroit vs Tampa Bay professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Four over/under markets with explicit threshold descriptions. O/U 4.5 resolves Over if 5+ goals, O/U 5.5 resolves Over if 6+ goals, O/U 6.5 resolves Over if 7+ goals, O/U 7.5 resolves Over if 8+ goals. Plus moneyline and spread markets. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Red Wings and Lightning combine to score 8 or more goals in this game' (for O/U 7.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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