TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo
kalshi
polymarket

Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo

Volume:
$562,750

Red Bull Bragantino

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 3, 2026

Closed: Apr 2, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Red Bull Bragantino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$104,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bragantino

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,163
N/A
N/A
$29,264
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Flamengo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182,982
N/A
N/A
$123,285
Settled
No
polymarket

CR Flamengo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160,728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,519
N/A
N/A
$26,213
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Red Bull Bragantino and CR Flamengo scheduled for April 2, 2026. The markets collectively capture all three possible match outcomes (Bragantino win, Flamengo win, or draw) evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Tie, Bragantino win, Flamengo win) are marked to resolve YES, making it impossible to determine a single resolution. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution logic aligned to standard soccer match outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in this group — it contains a fatal logical error where every possible match outcome resolves to YES, making settlement impossible. Trade only the Polymarket markets (Draw, Bragantino win, Flamengo win), which follow standard prediction market logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Market structure is logically broken. All three conditions (Tie wins, Bragantino wins, Flamengo wins) are each marked to resolve YES independently, meaning every possible match outcome would trigger a YES resolution. This violates basic market logic where only one outcome should resolve YES. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bragantino wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Flamengo wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Draw YES/NO, Bragantino win YES/NO, Flamengo win YES/NO) with standard binary resolution logic. Only one outcome per match can occur, and each market resolves to exactly one of YES or NO. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure is repeated for each outcome market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.