TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo
Volume:
$562,750
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between Red Bull Bragantino and CR Flamengo scheduled for April 2, 2026. The markets collectively capture all three possible match outcomes (Bragantino win, Flamengo win, or draw) evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Tie, Bragantino win, Flamengo win) are marked to resolve YES, making it impossible to determine a single resolution. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution logic aligned to standard soccer match outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in this group — it contains a fatal logical error where every possible match outcome resolves to YES, making settlement impossible. Trade only the Polymarket markets (Draw, Bragantino win, Flamengo win), which follow standard prediction market logic with mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market structure is logically broken. All three conditions (Tie wins, Bragantino wins, Flamengo wins) are each marked to resolve YES independently, meaning every possible match outcome would trigger a YES resolution. This violates basic market logic where only one outcome should resolve YES. Quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Bragantino wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Flamengo wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Draw YES/NO, Bragantino win YES/NO, Flamengo win YES/NO) with standard binary resolution logic. Only one outcome per match can occur, and each market resolves to exactly one of YES or NO. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.' This structure is repeated for each outcome market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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