TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Salt Lake vs. San Diego FC
Volume:
$585,275
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between Real Salt Lake and San Diego FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Salt Lake win, San Diego win, Tie) resolve to YES simultaneously, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where exactly one outcome resolves YES.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution rules state that YES occurs if Salt Lake wins OR San Diego wins OR Tie occurs — meaning the market will always resolve YES regardless of the actual match result. This is a critical platform error. Polymarket markets are tradeable and follow standard soccer match logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes: RSL win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), San Diego win (YES/NO). Exactly one market resolves YES based on the actual match result. Resolution source is official MLS statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution conditions stated as: 'If Salt Lake wins... then YES. If San Diego wins... then YES. If Tie wins... then YES.' This creates a logical contradiction where all possible outcomes trigger YES, making the market always resolve YES regardless of match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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