TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
Volume:
$77,855
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 16 at 2:45PM ET: If the Real Madrid win, the market will resolve to "Real Madrid". If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to "KK Crvena Zvezda". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: it resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Real Madrid win OR KK Crvena Zvezda win), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to one winner or 50-50 on cancellation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. The resolution logic is broken—both outcomes trigger Yes, which violates binary market mechanics. Polymarket is the only tradeable venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary resolution: Real Madrid win resolves to 'Real Madrid', KK Crvena Zvezda win resolves to 'KK Crvena Zvezda'. Cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Postponement keeps market open. Clear winner-take-all structure.
- Kalshi: Logical contradiction: 'If Real Madrid wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins...resolves to Yes'. Both mutually exclusive outcomes trigger identical Yes resolution, violating binary market logic. No No condition is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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