TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
Volume:
$130,466
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between Real Madrid and Hapoel Tel Aviv scheduled for March 24, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins OR Real Madrid wins) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary event. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market is logically broken—both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a binary market. Polymarket is the only platform with valid, resolvable logic for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Winner-take-all binary resolution. Real Madrid victory resolves to 'Real Madrid', Hapoel Tel Aviv victory resolves to 'Hapoel Tel Aviv'. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
- Kalshi: Both outcomes specified to resolve Yes: 'If Hapoel Tel-Aviv wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Real Madrid wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility—the market cannot be binary if both outcomes trigger Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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