TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid vs. FC Bayern Munchen
Volume:
$92,441
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball matchup between Real Madrid and FC Bayern Munich scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 2:45 PM EST. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Bayern Munich victory and Real Madrid victory are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary market structure. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the market is a Yes/No on Bayern Munich only, or if there is a documentation error. Use Polymarket as your reference for sound binary logic: one winner resolves to their name, the other outcome is implicitly No.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to 'Real Madrid' if Real Madrid wins, 'FC Bayern Munchen' if Bayern wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution logic: 'If Bayern Munich wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Real Madrid wins... resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to Yes in a single binary market. No edge case handling documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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