TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF - More Markets
Volume:
$1,963,254
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a La Liga match between Real Madrid CF and Getafe CF scheduled for March 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets include point spreads at -1.5 and -2.5 goal thresholds, over/under totals at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 goals, and a both-teams-to-score market. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses asymmetric spread-based resolution with a default outcome, while Kalshi uses symmetric independent binary markets with explicit win-margin thresholds. The market structures are fundamentally different despite covering the same underlying event.Hero Tip:
Polymarket spreads collapse to a single outcome per market (either the spread condition or the default). Kalshi markets are independent Yes/No propositions. A Real Madrid 2-0 win resolves differently across platforms: Polymarket Real Madrid (-1.5) = YES, Getafe (-1.5) = NO; Kalshi Real Madrid >1.5 = YES, Getafe >1.5 = NO, Real Madrid >2.5 = NO, Getafe >2.5 = NO. Treat these as separate product families.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Spread markets use asymmetric resolution: Real Madrid (-1.5) resolves YES only if Real Madrid wins by 2+ goals, otherwise resolves to Getafe (NO). Getafe (-1.5) uses inverse logic. Over/Under markets are symmetric threshold-based. All markets resolve per official laliga.com final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; full cancellation resolves 50-50.
- Kalshi: Four independent binary markets: (1) Real Madrid wins by >1.5 goals = Yes, (2) Getafe wins by >1.5 goals = Yes, (3) Real Madrid wins by >2.5 goals = Yes, (4) Getfate wins by >2.5 goals = Yes. Each resolves independently based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement language provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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