TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF
Volume:
$3,243,485
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the La Liga soccer match between Real Madrid CF and Elche CF scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across platforms are betting on the final outcome (win/loss/draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation clause (resolves YES for all outcomes if no makeup game) conflicts with standard mutually-exclusive outcome logic. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation, creating ambiguity in edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Confirm fixture stability with LaLiga before settlement. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket traders face a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (draw, Elche win, Real Madrid win) would resolve YES simultaneously. Kalshi's silence on cancellation means resolution would depend on platform discretion at settlement time.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Resolves YES for draw if game ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If game is canceled entirely with no makeup, this market resolves YES. If game is postponed, market remains open. Source: official LaLiga statistics or credible consensus if not published within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Kalshi: Resolves YES if any outcome (Elche win, Real Madrid win, or tie) occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implies all three mutually exclusive outcome markets resolve YES if the specified outcome occurs, but cancellation handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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