TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona - Halftime Result
Volume:
$4,976
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a La Liga match between Real Betis Balompié and RCD Espanyol de Barcelona scheduled for April 4, 2026. Three binary markets on Polymarket ask whether Betis leads, a draw occurs, or Espanyol leads at halftime, while Kalshi offers a single market resolving Yes if any of those three outcomes occurs.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket presents three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves Yes, while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves Yes to all possible outcomes. This is a fundamental structural incompatibility that makes the markets non-comparable and suggests a critical data integrity issue on the Kalshi side.Hero Tip:
Do not treat these as equivalent markets. On Polymarket, you are making a directional bet on one of three outcomes. On Kalshi, the market appears to guarantee a Yes resolution regardless of result, which is either a tautology or a platform error. Before trading Kalshi, confirm with their support whether this market is intentionally designed to always pay out or if the resolution criteria were misconfigured.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets covering all possible halftime outcomes (Betis lead, Draw, Espanyol lead). Each market independently resolves Yes or No based on whether its specific outcome occurs. Exactly one of the three will resolve Yes. Resolution source is official La Liga statistics or credible consensus within 24 hours of match conclusion.
- Kalshi: Single market with three resolution paths, each triggering a Yes resolution: Betis wins first half, Espanyol wins first half, or Tie occurs. All three conditions resolve to Yes, meaning the market always resolves Yes regardless of halftime result. This creates a logical tautology.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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