TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Panathinaikós AO - More Markets
Volume:
$494,017
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for March 19 at 4:00 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures to cover spread outcomes. Polymarket offers separate binary markets for each spread threshold (-1.5, -2.5) for each team, while Kalshi uses a single combined YES/NO market that resolves YES if either team wins by more than the specified margin. This creates a structural divergence in how outcomes map to market resolutions.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, you must choose which team and spread to bet on separately (e.g., bet YES on 'Real Betis (-1.5)' or 'Panathinaikós (-1.5)'). On Kalshi, a single YES bet covers both teams winning by the margin, so the same outcome (e.g., Real Betis wins by 2) resolves YES on Kalshi but requires you to have picked the correct team and direction on Polymarket. If you want exposure to 'either team wins by 2+', Kalshi's structure is more direct; Polymarket requires two separate bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures spreads as directional binary markets, requiring separate YES/NO bets for each team at each threshold. For example, 'Real Betis (-1.5)' resolves YES only if Real Betis wins by 2+ goals, and 'Panathinaikós (-1.5)' resolves YES only if Panathinaikós wins by 2+ goals. All markets resolve according to 'the official final score published on uefa.com' within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures spreads as combined YES/NO markets where YES resolves if either team wins by the specified margin. For example, the '1.5 goal' market resolves YES if 'Panathinaikos wins by more than 1.5 goals' OR 'Real Betis wins by more than 1.5 goals'. All markets resolve according to the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no mention of a secondary source fallback.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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