TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid - Halftime Result
Volume:
$1,525
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid La Liga match scheduled for April 12, 2026. Markets resolve based on which team is leading or if the score is tied after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The group includes three binary outcomes: Mallorca leading, draw, or Rayo Vallecano leading at halftime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure divergence between platforms. Polymarket presents three independent binary markets while Kalshi's description suggests a unified market with three resolution paths, creating ambiguity about whether traders are comparing equivalent instruments.Hero Tip:
Before trading across platforms, confirm Kalshi's actual market structure. If Kalshi is truly a single market with three Yes outcomes, it is structurally different from Polymarket's three separate binary markets. This affects position sizing, hedging strategies, and probability calculations.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Mallorca leading at halftime Yes/No, (2) Draw at halftime Yes/No, (3) Rayo Vallecano leading at halftime Yes/No. Each market independently resolves based on halftime score. Only one can resolve Yes. Quote: 'If RCD Mallorca wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Described as three resolution conditions within what appears to be a single market structure. All three conditions (Mallorca winner, Vallecano winner, Tie) resolve to Yes based on the actual halftime outcome. Quote: 'If Mallorca is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes. If Vallecano is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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