TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo
Volume:
$1,830,714
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the La Liga soccer match between RCD Espanyol de Barcelona and RC Celta de Vigo scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets track outcomes for an Espanyol win, a Celta Vigo win, and a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly defines cancellation resolution (No for win markets, Yes for draw market), while Kalshi omits cancellation logic entirely, creating potential settlement ambiguity if the match does not occur.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi's silence on cancellation as a critical gap. Request written clarification from Kalshi support before match day. If you are hedging across platforms, a cancellation scenario could trigger opposite resolutions on the draw outcome alone, creating unintended exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation clauses. Win markets (Espanyol and Celta) resolve No if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled with no makeup. All three measure outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No' (win markets) and 'this market will resolve Yes' (draw market).
- Kalshi: Three outcome conditions stated as Yes-resolving triggers (Celta win, Tie, Espanyol win) with no explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. All three measure outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Espanyol vs Celta Vigo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.' No fallback logic stated.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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