TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. OGC Nice
Volume:
$603,798
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, April 4, 2026 between RC Strasbourg Alsace and OGC Nice.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Nice win, Strasbourg win, Draw), each resolving independently to YES or NO based on a single outcome. Kalshi offers three markets that all resolve to YES for any outcome (Nice wins, Strasbourg wins, or Tie), making it logically impossible for all three Kalshi markets to resolve consistently—they cannot all be YES simultaneously since only one outcome can occur.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. The three Kalshi markets are logically contradictory: they all resolve YES for mutually exclusive outcomes (Nice win, Strasbourg win, Tie). Only one outcome will occur on April 4, 2026, so at most one Kalshi market can resolve YES, yet the rules state all three resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs. This is a critical data integrity failure. Polymarket markets are coherent: exactly one of the three will resolve YES. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports resolution logic: three mutually exclusive binary markets, each resolving YES if its specific outcome occurs (Nice win, Strasbourg win, or Draw) and NO otherwise. Exactly one market resolves YES. Primary source is official Ligue 1 statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Cancellation with no make-up resolves the draw market to YES and the win markets to NO.
- Kalshi: Outlier: three markets that all resolve to YES for any outcome—'If Nice wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Strasbourg wins...resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility: only one outcome can occur, yet all three markets are defined to resolve YES for their respective outcomes. No resolution source, timing, or cancellation clause is specified. This market structure is unresolvable and contradicts basic probability logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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