TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka
Volume:
$415,194
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between RC Strasbourg Alsace and HNK Rijeka.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures three separate binary markets (Strasbourg win, Draw, Rijeka win) that are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, while Kalshi presents three separate YES/NO markets that each resolve YES for any outcome, creating a logical incompatibility in how the markets function as a group.Hero Tip:
On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES (the actual match outcome). On Kalshi, all three markets will resolve YES regardless of the result. If you are hedging across platforms, understand that Polymarket markets are true alternatives (pick one winner) while Kalshi markets are outcome-agnostic confirmations (all resolve YES). Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi behave identically.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match outcome (Strasbourg win, Draw, or Rijeka win). Each market explicitly resolves NO for all other outcomes. Key quote: 'If RC Strasbourg Alsace wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No' and 'If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi presents three separate markets that each resolve YES if their named outcome occurs, but the structure implies all three markets resolve YES for any match result (one for Tie, one for Rijeka win, one for Strasbourg win). Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Rijeka wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Strasbourg Alsace wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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