TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 - More Markets
Volume:
$242,265
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for April 16 at 3:00 PM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket markets resolve based on regular 90-minute match outcome (spread and over/under goals), while Kalshi market resolves based on tournament advancement (who advances past the quarterfinal tie). These are fundamentally different events with no logical connection.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge these markets. A Polymarket bet on Strasbourg winning 3-0 does not guarantee Kalshi resolution, and vice versa. Kalshi's market depends on extra time and penalty shootouts if needed, while Polymarket markets explicitly exclude them. Treat as completely separate events.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Six markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Spread markets (-1.5, -2.5) resolve YES if the named team wins by the specified goal margin; over/under markets resolve based on combined goals scored (thresholds: 2, 3, 4, 5); both teams to score resolves YES if each team scores at least one goal. Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
- Kalshi: Single market resolves YES if either Strasbourg or Mainz advances past the other in the Conference League quarterfinal tie. This encompasses the full two-leg tie format (or single match with extra time and penalties if applicable), not just the first 90 minutes. Quote: 'If Strasbourg Alsace advance past Mainz in the Strasbourg Alsace vs Mainz soccer tie in the Quarterfinal of the Conference League, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.