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406,065

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2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
polymarket
kalshi

RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Volume:
$2,280,355

RB Leipzig

 - Polymarket

RB Leipzig - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 20, 3:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

RB Leipzig

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,669,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leipzig

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$226,177
N/A
N/A
$142,927
Settled
Yes
polymarket

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$150,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Hoffenheim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,518
N/A
N/A
$39,260
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (RB Leipzig vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$99,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,935
N/A
N/A
$50,977
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, March 20, 2026 between RB Leipzig and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Leipzig win, Draw, Hoffenheim win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three independent markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction and making Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory — all three markets resolve YES for any match outcome, violating basic market design. Polymarket's three markets are properly structured as mutually exclusive outcomes. Treat Kalshi as broken and unresolvable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket structures three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one outcome (Leipzig win, Draw, or Hoffenheim win) resolves YES and the other two resolve NO. All three markets reference the same event (March 20, 2026 match, 90 minutes plus stoppage time), the same primary source (official Bundesliga statistics), and identical postponement/cancellation rules. Key quote: 'If RB Leipzig wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three independent markets that all resolve YES for any match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Tie wins. Market 2 resolves YES if Leipzig wins. Market 3 resolves YES if Hoffenheim wins. Since every match must end in exactly one of these three outcomes, all three Kalshi markets will always resolve YES simultaneously, creating a logical impossibility and rendering the markets unresolvable as prediction instruments. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Leipzig wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hoffenheim wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.