TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund
Volume:
$6,071,072
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three mutually exclusive outcome markets for the Bundesliga match between RB Leipzig and BV Borussia 09 Dortmund scheduled for February 21, 2026. The markets resolve based on the final result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the core resolution logic: final outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time of regular play, with no inclusion of extra time or penalties. All three mutually exclusive outcomes (Leipzig win, Dortmund win, draw) are covered consistently.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records and statistics (bundesliga.com)Core resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: RB Leipzig wins, BV Borussia 09 Dortmund wins, or Draw
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket resolves Draw as Yes and Win markets as No; Kalshi treats cancellation as requiring official determination
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution occurs based on the rescheduled match result.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: Draw market resolves Yes, both Win markets resolve No. Kalshi: Official determination required, but logically Draw would resolve Yes and Win markets No to maintain consistency.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based solely on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time. If the match goes to extra time or penalties, only the 90+stoppage minute result counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 21, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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