TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF - Halftime Result
Volume:
$3,852
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano de Madrid and Elche CF scheduled for April 3, 2026. Markets track whether Rayo wins, Elche wins, or the teams draw at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Resolution depends on official halftime scoreline only, not the final match result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses explicit binary logic with "Otherwise resolve No" fallback language for each outcome, while Kalshi uses conditional Yes/No framing without explicit mutual exclusivity or cancellation fallback rules. Both platforms reference the same event (halftime result after 45 minutes plus stoppage time) and the same primary source (official statistics), but differ in edge-case handling transparency.Hero Tip:
For trading purposes, treat both platforms as functionally equivalent for the core outcome (exactly one of three halftime results will occur). However, if the match is postponed or canceled, monitor Kalshi's official resolution guidance closely, as it does not explicitly state how postponement or cancellation affects the three markets. Polymarket's explicit "resolve No" language for cancellations provides clearer protection.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets with explicit fallback logic. Each market resolves Yes if its condition is met, No otherwise. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves all three to No. Primary source: official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
- Kalshi: Three separate conditional Yes/No markets covering all halftime outcomes (Vallecano win, Elche win, Tie). No explicit mutual exclusivity language or fallback rules stated. Assumes exactly one outcome occurs but does not specify behavior for postponement or cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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