TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Raptors vs. Timberwolves
Volume:
$4,622,766
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Toronto Raptors and Minnesota Timberwolves scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span full-game outcomes (moneyline, spreads, totals), first-half outcomes, and individual player performance props (points, rebounds, assists) across both teams.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's second-half regulation market has a logical contradiction (all three outcomes resolve to Yes), and its scope (second-half only) diverges fundamentally from Polymarket's full-game scope. This makes Kalshi's market unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's second-half market until the resolution logic is corrected. The statement that Toronto win, Minnesota win, AND Tie all resolve to Yes is impossible. Polymarket's full-game markets are the reliable reference; use those for hedging.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market resolves to Yes if Toronto wins second half, Minnesota wins second half, OR Tie occurs in second half. This creates a logical impossibility where all three mutually exclusive outcomes resolve identically. Scope is second-half regulation only, excluding overtime.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Raptors or Timberwolves based on final score including all overtime periods. Spreads resolve based on margin of victory in full game. Totals resolve on combined full-game score. Player props count entire game including overtime. Source: official NBA box score on NBA.com.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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