TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Raptors vs. Suns
Volume:
$11,396,055
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 22 at 9:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Toronto wins OR Phoenix wins), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Raptors, Suns, or 50-50 on cancellation), providing coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely — it is broken. Trade only on Polymarket's 'Raptors vs. Suns' moneyline, which has sound logic. All Polymarket prop markets (spreads, O/U, player stats) are resolvable and consistent with the main moneyline.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1–2) states 'If Toronto wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Phoenix wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning the market resolves YES regardless of the outcome. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Toronto wins the Toronto at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phoenix wins the Toronto at Phoenix professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Polymarket's moneyline market (items 1–3) correctly defines mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to Raptors. If the Suns win, the market will resolve to Suns.' All 27 Polymarket markets (spreads, O/U, player props) use consistent, coherent resolution criteria tied to official NBA box scores and game outcomes. Key quote: 'If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to Raptors. If the Suns win, the market will resolve to Suns.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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