This event group covers the NBA game between the Toronto Raptors and Houston Rockets scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads, over/under totals (full game and first half), and individual player prop bets across multiple statistical categories (points, rebounds, assists).
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official NBA box score determines all outcomes, overtime is included, postponements remain open, cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50, and player inactivity defaults to No.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline (Raptors vs. Rockets): Resolves to the team with the higher final score; if tied, resolves 50-50
Spread markets (Rockets -5.5, Rockets -4.5, 1H Rockets -2.5): Resolves to Rockets if they win by the specified margin or more; otherwise resolves to the opposing team or Raptors
Over/Under totals (full game and first half): Resolves Over if combined score meets or exceeds the threshold plus one; resolves Under if below threshold
Player prop bets (Points, Rebounds, Assists): Resolves Yes if player exceeds the stated threshold; resolves No if at or below threshold, or if player is inactive
First-half markets: Determined by halftime score only, not final score
Game postponement: Market remains open until game is completed
Complete cancellation with no makeup: Market resolves 50-50
Overtime: All overtime periods are included in final statistics
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tied game at end of regulation: Moneyline resolves 50-50; spread markets resolve to Raptors (non-Rockets outcome); overtime is played and included in all statistics
Player listed as inactive: All player prop markets for that player resolve to No, regardless of whether they appear on the bench or in the box score
Game postponed: All markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date
Game canceled with no makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Threshold equality in player props: If a player scores, rebounds, or assists exactly at the stated threshold (e.g., 14.5), the market resolves No
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final buzzer of the game (including any overtime), when the official NBA box score is published on NBA.com. First-half markets resolve at halftime. Postponed games remain unresolved until completion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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