TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Raptors vs. Nuggets
Volume:
$14,274,631
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA matchup between the Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final outcome of the game, including any overtime periods, with the winner determined by the official final score.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) resolves YES for ANY outcome (Denver wins OR Toronto wins), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket's markets (items 3-97) use standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic where exactly one outcome occurs per market. This is a fundamental data integrity failure on Kalshi.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2). It is mathematically impossible for both 'Denver wins' and 'Toronto wins' to resolve YES simultaneously, yet the market rules state both outcomes trigger YES resolution. All Polymarket markets are resolvable and follow standard NBA settlement practices. Trade Polymarket only.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1-2) contains a critical logical contradiction. Both outcomes—'If Denver wins' and 'If Toronto wins'—are stated to resolve to YES, which is impossible since exactly one team will win. This makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Denver wins the Toronto at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins the Toronto at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard NBA settlement logic: Polymarket's markets use mutually exclusive resolution outcomes. The moneyline (item 3) resolves to either 'Raptors' or 'Nuggets' (not both). Spreads (items 6, 30), totals (items 4, 68-97), player props (items 8-67), and first-half markets (items 72-95) all follow standard, unambiguous resolution rules where exactly one outcome occurs per market. Quote: 'If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to Raptors. If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to Nuggets.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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