TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Raptors vs. Jazz
Volume:
$4,746,016
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On March 23, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, the Toronto Raptors will face the Utah Jazz in an NBA regular season game. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline outcome, point spread, and total points scored, with consistent resolution criteria across platforms tied to the official final score.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on the first-half outcome of the Toronto vs Utah game, while Polymarket settles on the full-game outcome. This creates a complete logical divergence where the same game result produces different resolutions across platforms.Hero Tip:
If you trade this event group, understand that Kalshi markets (items 1-3) resolve at halftime based on first-half winner or tie, while all Polymarket markets (items 4-87) resolve after the full game concludes. A team winning the first half does not guarantee winning the full game, so your profit/loss exposure differs dramatically by platform. Do not assume arbitrage opportunities—the events are distinct.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves based exclusively on the first-half outcome of regulation time in the Toronto vs Utah game. All three Kalshi markets (items 1-3) resolve YES if Utah wins the first half, Toronto wins the first half, OR the first half ends in a tie. The resolution source is the halftime score only, not the final game result. Key quote: 'If Utah is the winner of the first half of regulation time... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Tie is the result of the first half of regulation time... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard full-game settlement: Polymarket resolves all markets (items 4-87) based on the final full-game outcome, including overtime if applicable. The moneyline (item 4) resolves to 'Raptors' or 'Jazz' based on final score; spreads (items 5, 80, 84) require winning by a specified margin at final buzzer; totals (items 6-11, 70) count combined points through game end; player props (items 12-69) count stats through final buzzer; first-half markets (items 70-79) explicitly resolve 'based on the score at halftime only.' Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods' (item 4) versus 'The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only' (item 70).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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