TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Raptors vs. Grizzlies
kalshi
polymarket

Raptors vs. Grizzlies

Volume:
$3,911,732

Spread -14.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -14.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 4, 2026

Closed: Apr 3, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,058,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Raptors vs. Grizzlies

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$686,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toronto

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$541,153
N/A
N/A
$457,574
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$537,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jamal Shead: Points O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Moneyline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$349
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

GG Jackson II: Points O/U 15.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Taylor Hendricks: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

RJ Barrett: Points O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jakob Poeltl: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cedric Coward: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$143
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

GG Jackson II: Assists O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ja'Kobe Walter: Rebounds O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Memphis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$870,907
N/A
N/A
$666,683
Settled
No
polymarket

1H O/U 113.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 231.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 44

Description

This event group covers the NBA game between the Toronto Raptors and Memphis Grizzlies scheduled for April 3, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, with the final score including any overtime periods determining the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Memphis wins OR Toronto wins), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets correctly distinguish between Raptors win, Grizzlies win, and other outcomes (spreads, totals, player props) with proper binary or categorical logic.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it is broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Trade only on Polymarket's markets, which have coherent resolution logic: Raptors win resolves to 'Raptors', Grizzlies win resolves to 'Grizzlies', and all prop markets use standard over/under thresholds with proper tie-breaking and cancellation clauses.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Both Kalshi markets (items 1–2) state 'If Memphis wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto wins... then the market resolves to Yes', creating a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for all possible outcomes. This violates basic binary market structure and makes the market unresolvable.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's moneyline (items 3–4) correctly resolves to 'Raptors' if Raptors win and 'Grizzlies' if Grizzlies win, with a 50-50 split only if the game is canceled with no make-up. All 77 additional Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) use coherent binary or categorical logic with consistent tie-breaking, postponement, and cancellation rules tied to official NBA box scores.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.