TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Raptors vs. Clippers
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 25 at 10:30PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Raptors win vs. Clippers win) with proper resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline market entirely—it violates basic binary logic by resolving YES regardless of who wins. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, player props, totals) follow standard resolution rules and are tradeable. If you hold Kalshi exposure, this is a critical data integrity failure that should be escalated to the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1–2) states 'If Los Angeles C wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for every possible outcome, making it unresolvable. No other platform in this group shares this flawed structure.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard binary logic: Polymarket's moneyline (item 1) and all derivative markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) use mutually exclusive outcomes. The moneyline resolves to 'Raptors' if Raptors win, 'Clippers' if Clippers win, with clear tie-breaking rules. All 40 Polymarket markets follow this coherent structure.
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