TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Raptors vs. Celtics
Volume:
$7,973,114
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 3:30PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to "Celtics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) resolve YES for either team winning, creating a logical contradiction where both outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES. Polymarket's markets use standard binary or spread-based resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes. This makes Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) — they contain a logical flaw where both 'Boston wins' and 'Toronto wins' resolve to YES, which is impossible. All other markets (Polymarket spreads, totals, player props) use standard, resolvable logic. Focus trading activity on Polymarket's 80+ markets, which have clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline markets (items 1-2) state 'If Boston wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Toronto wins...resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where both outcomes trigger YES. This violates basic binary market structure. Quote: 'If Boston wins the Toronto at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Toronto wins the Toronto at Boston professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market logic: Polymarket's moneyline (item 2) and all derivative markets (spreads, totals, player props) use mutually exclusive outcomes — Raptors OR Celtics win, Over OR Under on totals, Yes OR No on player performance thresholds. Quote: 'If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to Raptors. If the Celtics win, the market will resolve to Celtics.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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