TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rangers FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC
Volume:
$206,553
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three interconnected prediction markets on the Scottish Premiership match between Rangers FC and Heart of Midlothian FC scheduled for February 15, 2026. The markets track the final outcome (Rangers win, Hearts win, or draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation outcome divergence: Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on permanent cancellation, while win markets resolve No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation rule, creating ambiguity in edge-case resolution.Hero Tip:
Track SPFL official communications for any cancellation announcements. If the match is permanently canceled, expect Polymarket draw to pay out while win markets do not. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined and may require manual settlement review.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Rangers win (Yes/No), Hearts win (Yes/No), and draw (Yes/No). Postponements keep markets open; permanent cancellations resolve draw to Yes and win markets to No. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets all resolve Yes if their respective outcome occurs (Rangers win, Hearts win, or tie). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Implies one outcome must occur but silent on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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