TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rangers FC vs. Celtic FC
Volume:
$520,745
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a Rangers FC vs. Celtic FC Scottish Premiership match scheduled for March 1, 2026, evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three binary markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess whether Celtic wins, Rangers wins, or the match ends in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation resolution clause (YES if canceled) that contradicts the cancellation handling in its own win markets (NO if canceled) and differs from Kalshi's implicit default behavior. This creates ambiguity in how a canceled match resolves across the event group.Hero Tip:
Traders should request explicit written confirmation from both Polymarket and Kalshi on cancellation scenarios before committing capital. The draw market's YES-on-cancellation clause is unusual and may reflect a drafting error. Consider the practical likelihood: if SPFL cancels without rescheduling, the match outcome is genuinely indeterminate, making a draw resolution philosophically defensible but operationally risky.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Celtic Win (YES if Celtic wins, NO otherwise), Draw (YES if draw, YES if canceled with no make-up, NO otherwise), Rangers Win (YES if Rangers wins, NO otherwise). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw market to YES but win markets to NO.
- Kalshi: Three separate binary markets covering all possible outcomes: Rangers Win, Tie, Celtic Win. Each resolves YES only if that specific outcome occurs within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause; default behavior on cancellation is not specified but implied to be NO (market does not resolve YES).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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