TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.3b

24H VOL:

$158,613,015

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,206,641,323

499,459

Markets across

13,676

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,789

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs 1 of 30 (BO3) - North America League Kickoff Playoffs

Volume:
$49,884
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group covers the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Spacestation Gaming and 1 of 30 in the North America League Kickoff Playoffs, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The match is a best-of-three (BO3) series, with multiple prediction markets tracking the overall match winner, individual game winners, total games played, and game handicap outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Polymarket defines comprehensive resolution rules including match cancellation, forfeiture, and tie scenarios with specific 50-50 outcomes, while Kalshi provides minimal resolution logic that only addresses the two primary outcomes (1 of 30 wins or Spacestation Gaming wins) without addressing edge cases or contingencies.

Hero Tip:

If you trade on Kalshi, you have no explicit protection for cancellations, forfeits, or delays beyond 7 days—the market may resolve ambiguously. Polymarket offers clearer edge-case handling. For maximum clarity, prioritize Polymarket markets for this event group.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket specifies that the match resolves to the match winner (Spacestation Gaming or 1 of 30), but includes detailed contingencies: if canceled, ends in a tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. If a match begins but is not completed and one team wins by forfeit/disqualification/walkover, it resolves to the winning team. If the match ends in forfeit/disqualification/walkover before start, it resolves 50-50. Resolution source is Liquipedia, with credible reporting as fallback within 2 hours. Quote: 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Kalshi provides only binary resolution logic: 'If 1 of 30 wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Spacestation Gaming wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No contingencies, edge cases, or fallback resolution procedures are defined. The market structure implies both outcomes resolve to Yes, which is logically incomplete and leaves cancellations, forfeits, delays, and ties unaddressed. Quote: 'If 1 of 30 wins the North America League Kickoff 2026: 1 of 30 vs. Spacestation Gaming R6 match originally scheduled for Apr 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.