TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A
Volume:
$5,410
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Five Fears in the North America League Kickoff Group A, scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this best-of-one match.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible match outcomes (Five Fears win OR Shopify Rebellion win) resolve to Yes, leaving no meaningful No outcome. This violates binary market design and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a true prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Treat Kalshi as a non-functional market for directional exposure. If you want to bet on a specific team, use Polymarket only. Kalshi's Yes resolution on any decisive match outcome means it functions as a cancellation/tie/delay hedge only—not a winner picker.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner resolution with comprehensive edge-case logic. Resolves to Shopify Rebellion if they win, Five Fears if they win, or 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeit. If match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, that team wins the market. Source: Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
- Kalshi: Yes-resolution tautology: resolves Yes if Five Fears wins OR if Shopify Rebellion wins. No explicit No outcome is defined for cancellation, tie, or delay. This creates a market where both possible match winners produce identical resolution, violating binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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