TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A
polymarket
kalshi

Rainbow Six Siege: Shopify Rebellion vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A

Volume:
$5,410

Five Fears

 - Kalshi

Five Fears - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Apr 9, 9:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Five Fears

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$889
N/A
N/A
$870
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,211
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shopify Rebellion

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,310
N/A
N/A
$1,262
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a single Rainbow Six Siege match between Shopify Rebellion and Five Fears in the North America League Kickoff Group A, scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi have created prediction markets on the outcome of this best-of-one match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: both possible match outcomes (Five Fears win OR Shopify Rebellion win) resolve to Yes, leaving no meaningful No outcome. This violates binary market design and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a true prediction instrument.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi as a non-functional market for directional exposure. If you want to bet on a specific team, use Polymarket only. Kalshi's Yes resolution on any decisive match outcome means it functions as a cancellation/tie/delay hedge only—not a winner picker.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner resolution with comprehensive edge-case logic. Resolves to Shopify Rebellion if they win, Five Fears if they win, or 50-50 on cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeit. If match begins and one team wins via opponent forfeit/disqualification/walkover, that team wins the market. Source: Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
  • Kalshi: Yes-resolution tautology: resolves Yes if Five Fears wins OR if Shopify Rebellion wins. No explicit No outcome is defined for cancellation, tie, or delay. This creates a market where both possible match winners produce identical resolution, violating binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.