TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs Wildcard Gaming (BO3) - North America League Kickoff Playoffs
Description
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between M80 and Wildcard Gaming in the North America League Kickoff Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 20 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against Wildcard Gaming. This market will resolve to "Wildcard Gaming" if Wildcard Gaming win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market lacks specific game-level and match-outcome detail compared to Polymarket's granular resolution framework. Kalshi's binary yes/no structure does not distinguish between individual game winners, total games, handicap outcomes, or match completion scenarios that Polymarket explicitly addresses.Hero Tip:
If trading on Polymarket, you have four distinct markets with precise resolution criteria including game-by-game outcomes, game totals, and handicaps. On Kalshi, the single binary market resolves YES if either team wins the match—offering no granularity. Polymarket offers more trading precision and edge-case protection; Kalshi offers simplicity but less risk management.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Five separate markets covering Game 1 Winner, Game 2 Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, Match Winner (BO3), and Game Handicap (-1.5/+1.5). Each includes detailed resolution rules for incomplete matches, forfeits, cancellations, and 7-day delay thresholds. Incomplete games resolve 50-50; completed games resolve to actual winner. Source: Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: 'If Wildcard Gaming wins...then YES. If M80 wins...then YES.' This resolves YES regardless of which team wins the match. No distinction between game-level outcomes, match completion status, or forfeit scenarios. Source and edge-case handling not specified in provided description.
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