TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs
Volume:
$34,965
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Rainbow Six Siege match between Falcons Esport and Virtus.pro in the Europe MENA League Kickoff 2026 Playoffs, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. The market will resolve to Yes if either team wins the match, creating a logical inconsistency in the resolution framework.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for either outcome (Virtus.pro OR Falcons Esport winning), making it a tautology, while Polymarket markets resolve to specific team winners or 50-50 outcomes based on match completion and timing conditions.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi market—it will resolve YES regardless of who wins the match, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's match winner and game-specific markets for actual predictive value.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: The market is structured as a tautology: 'If Virtus.pro wins...then YES' AND 'If Falcons Esport wins...then YES'. This means the market resolves YES in all possible outcomes where a winner is determined, providing no discriminatory power. The resolution condition does not distinguish between the two teams.
- Polymarket: Five distinct markets with granular resolution logic: (1) Match winner resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days, or forfeited before start; (2-3) Game 1 and Game 2 winners resolve to the team winning that specific game or 50-50 if not completed; (4) Over/Under 2.5 games resolves Over if 3+ games played, Under if fewer, or 50-50 if canceled/tied/delayed >7 days; (5) Game Handicap resolves to Falcons Esport if they win 2+ more games than Virtus.pro, otherwise Virtus.pro, or 50-50 if canceled/tied/delayed >7 days. All use Liquipedia as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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