TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs
kalshi
polymarket

Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs

Volume:
$34,965

Virtus.pro

 - Kalshi

Virtus.pro - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 17, 2026

Closed: Apr 16, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virtus.pro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,368
N/A
N/A
$4,174
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Match Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,046
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Falcons Esport

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,826
N/A
N/A
$7,093
Settled
No
polymarket

Game Handicap: FLCS (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$928
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$755
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Game 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This market resolves based on the outcome of a best-of-three (BO3) Rainbow Six Siege match between Falcons Esport and Virtus.pro in the Europe MENA League Kickoff 2026 Playoffs, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT. The market will resolve to Yes if either team wins the match, creating a logical inconsistency in the resolution framework.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market resolves YES for either outcome (Virtus.pro OR Falcons Esport winning), making it a tautology, while Polymarket markets resolve to specific team winners or 50-50 outcomes based on match completion and timing conditions.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market—it will resolve YES regardless of who wins the match, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Use Polymarket's match winner and game-specific markets for actual predictive value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: The market is structured as a tautology: 'If Virtus.pro wins...then YES' AND 'If Falcons Esport wins...then YES'. This means the market resolves YES in all possible outcomes where a winner is determined, providing no discriminatory power. The resolution condition does not distinguish between the two teams.
  • Polymarket: Five distinct markets with granular resolution logic: (1) Match winner resolves to the winning team or 50-50 if canceled, tied, delayed >7 days, or forfeited before start; (2-3) Game 1 and Game 2 winners resolve to the team winning that specific game or 50-50 if not completed; (4) Over/Under 2.5 games resolves Over if 3+ games played, Under if fewer, or 50-50 if canceled/tied/delayed >7 days; (5) Game Handicap resolves to Falcons Esport if they win 2+ more games than Virtus.pro, otherwise Virtus.pro, or 50-50 if canceled/tied/delayed >7 days. All use Liquipedia as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.