TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Rainbow Six Siege: 100 Thieves vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group A
Volume:
$18,407
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A best-of-one Rainbow Six Siege match between 100 Thieves and Five Fears scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET as part of the North America League Kickoff Group A. The market resolves based on which team wins the match, with specific handling for cancellations, forfeits, and delays.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both mutually exclusive outcomes (Five Fears wins OR 100 Thieves wins) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution logic.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi's side. Do not trade Kalshi until the platform clarifies whether the market should resolve Yes/No based on a specific team winning, or if it is a binary Yes/No market with different criteria. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the authoritative source.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution: resolves to the winning team name (100 Thieves or Five Fears). Cancellations, ties, delays beyond 7 days, or pre-match forfeits resolve to 50-50. Completed matches with in-game forfeits resolve to the winning team. Source: Liquipedia with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting.
- Kalshi: Contradictory logic: states both 'If Five Fears wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If 100 Thieves wins...resolves to Yes', creating logical impossibility. No clear handling of cancellations, forfeits, or edge cases provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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