TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz - Halftime Result
Volume:
$5,270
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Racing Club de Lens and FC Metz scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Lens leading at halftime, Metz leading at halftime, or a draw at halftime. Resolution depends on the official score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket structures the event as three mutually exclusive binary markets, while Kalshi structures it as a single ternary market that resolves Yes for all possible halftime outcomes. This is a scope and categorization difference, not a contradiction in the underlying halftime result determination.Hero Tip:
Understand that Polymarket's three markets are complementary (exactly one resolves Yes) while Kalshi's single market is a tautology (always resolves Yes). For predictive trading, use Polymarket. Kalshi's market is suitable only for hedging or certainty positions. Both platforms agree on the underlying halftime score determination method.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Offers three separate binary markets covering all mutually exclusive halftime outcomes. Each market independently resolves Yes or No based on whether that specific outcome occurred. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves No.
- Kalshi: Offers a single market with three resolution conditions, all leading to Yes. Market resolves Yes if Metz wins first half, Yes if tie occurs, or Yes if Lens wins first half. Effectively a tautology market that always resolves Yes regardless of halftime outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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