TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz
Volume:
$892,812
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 professional soccer match between Racing Club de Lens and FC Metz scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the three possible outcomes: Lens win, Metz win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical time-window logic (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and reference the same official source (Ligue 1), with only minor structural differences in how outcomes are presented (Kalshi as three Yes-resolving markets vs Polymarket as three separate binary markets).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Ligue 1 (ligue1.com) match statistics as recognized by the governing body; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined exclusively within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Racing Club de Lens wins, FC Metz wins, or draw
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, draw/tie outcome is confirmed (no result)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and final statistics are published.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes (representing a tie/no result state); Kalshi's three-outcome structure treats this as a confirmed outcome within its framework.
- Official Statistics Delay: If Ligue 1 does not publish official final match statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may proceed using consensus from credible sports reporting sources.
- Stoppage Time Determination: Stoppage time is determined by the match referee and official Ligue 1 records; markets resolve based on the final whistle after all stoppage time has elapsed.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (at the final whistle following stoppage time) once official Ligue 1 statistics are published or credible reporting consensus is established (within 2 hours of match end).Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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